I don’t really know stuff, but I feel it’s my duty as a blogger to make a prediction for the election tomorrow.
Well, if Obama has over 50% of the vote (as most polls are showing) then all the close states break his way and its a big blowout for him. If most of the polls are crap — which isn’t that unlikely — and he’s below 50%, the undecideds will break McCain’s way and he can squeak this out. Since the media has basically coronated Obama and this being such a horrible year for Republicans, you can treat Obama as the incumbent which means anyone undecided basically is basically unsold on Obama and will either vote for McCain or not vote.
So my prediction: The polls are crap, McCain will get over 50% of the popular vote, but Obama will win in the electoral college. Here’s why I say this: I haven’t seen anyone else make this prediction, so if it happens, then I’ll get all the credit as being the only one to see it coming. Everyone will be like, “Frank, you’re so smart! Here’s free money!” Also, that’s what I thought was going to happen in 2000 when things actually went the opposite way. Wouldn’t mind the opposite way again.